I'd like to welcome this weeks tipsters to the blog. Right now they're all feeling confident, but the same could be said for last weeks batch, and as we found out the hard way, confidence doesn't pay the bills.
Saturday 14th February
A full list of fixtures is here and this is what the music industry think:
Mike Hemsley - Hassle Records (Liverpool fan)
- I’m going to stick with FA Cup predos (taking that term from one of the guys on the BBC website live text thingy) for this weekend. Seeing as my beloved and infuriating Liverpool got dumped out by the Toffees in the last round, it’s the only way I can keep my interest in the competition. I’m plumping for the beleaguered Blackburn to turn over Coventry (sorry Jack Alcopop!), Sheffield United to get a result at home to Hull, Swansea to hold Fulham to a draw (albeit getting beaten in the replay), an easy win for Chelsea in the post-Scolari days away to Watford, and then for the in form West Ham to stick it to the out of form Middlesborough. As for Sunday, Man Utd will stick it to Derby without too much effort, and I hope and pray with all my heart that Martin O’Neill’s Aston Villa boys take Everton to the fucking cleaners
- For this weekend i'd start with taking Hull City to put one over Sheffield Utd at Bramall Lane in the cup. The Blades are riding high in the Championship but their home form is a bit on the gash side for where they are. You'll get 13/8 on an away win for Hull. In the league, something's gonna be a bit wrong if Bristol City don't spank Southampton into next week, so take them at 8/11, and in League One Leicester are almost home and dry at the top, so they can't do anything but massacre Swindon on Saturday. 2/5 for the home victory on that. Insisting on putting big money on Brighton to win every week is usually where I come unstuck, but with the new signings we've made in the transfer window and after a pretty good performance in the week (we lost 2-4 at home to Peterborough, but just take my word for it, OK?) you'd be a bloody mug not to put your life savings on a 5/4 home victory against Carlisle this weekend. Finally, down to the Conference, and we feel bad taking money for local heroes Lewes getting a roasting every week, so we'll put our dollar on Kidderminster to turn over Northwich for surprisingly good 4/11.
- So it's F.A Cup Weekend. A weekend when the form book is but a feeble guide in predicting the outcome of any game. I'm going to go with a cavalier prediction, one that goes against the first rule in any punter's book; Betting on your own team. I can't see anything but a West Ham win over Middlesbrough. Boro's paper thin back line and their anemic front line do not stand a chance of causing a shock at the Boleyn ground. Elsewhere in the fifth round of the Cup, go for Blackburn to see off Coventry with a routine home victory, and there will be no fairytale reunion for Brendan Rodgers' and his Watford team when their face his former paymasters Chelsea at Vicarage road. Sheffield United V Hull is too close to call, and it would also take a brave punter to call Swansea V Fulham. Moving on elsewhere, look for Birmingham to get their stuttering promotion campaign on track with a home victory over Nottingham Forest, Bristol City to continue their surge for the playoffs with victory at home to Southampton, and a Norwich victory against stop-start Preston at Deepdale. Further down the pyramid, get Leeds, Leicester, Millwall, Peterborough and Colchester down on your coupon from League 1 for wins. Wycombe, Brentford and Luton represent good value for wins in League 2
- Conference North: Farsley have been on a bad run recently but its been mostly away against decent sides - at home they are pretty formidable and play an Alfreton side that have been doing much better than they should. I reckon Farsley at 11/8 is a perfect example of the bookies getting it wrong in non-league and making prices just from the league positions. This will definately be in my weekend bet. Banker of the week is probably Harrogate (6th position, great at home) at home to a very poor Solihull Moors. They're 1/2, and it could be a trouncing. Hinckley 5/4 at home to Gainsborough is bizarre - they're practically even on points with Gainsborough having played five games more. With a still-only-31 Luke Beckett up front, Gainsborough are always a danger, but he's been there a while now and they still haven't really picked up. At that price, I'd definately take Hinckley. Another team performing above expectation are Vauxhall Motors, who are normally relegation fodder but have won 7 or 8 in the last 10 to go top half. I don't think this is a fluke after seeing them earlier in the season - they're hard working and seem to have a bit more belief this year, especially at the moment. They play top of the league Tamworth at home, and at 2/1 would be my dark horse of the week for decent odds.